It has been a tense week in the Middle East following the attack on Israel by Iran in the early hours of 14 April. Ehsan Khoman, Head of Research – Commodities, ESG and Emerging Markets (EMEA), contextualises the currently level of geopolitical risk premium – the compensation investors demand for the risk that geopolitical shocks hamper futures prices – that is currently priced into global markets, and how this could evolve with the various scenarios that may transpire from the crisis.
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