BOJ Monetary Policy Navigator

Outlook for BoJ's "detailed plan" and likelihood of July rate hike

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Outlook for BoJ's "detailed plan" and likelihood of July rate hike

Key points
  • Materials released ahead of BoJ's Bond Market Group meetings show market participants submitting variety of views
  • Bank appears to be placing greater emphasis on "predictability" of detailed plan, which forms only first part of longer process of QT
  • We do not expect simultaneous rate hike because BoJ probably wants to avoid raising term premia when kicking off QT

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