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Tail wags dog as rate hike expectations fade despite hawkish rate increase

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Tail wags dog as rate hike expectations fade despite hawkish rate increase

Key points
  • BoJ announced rate hike at July MPM and emphasized its intention to continue raising rates, yet market expectations of further hikes have faded
  • While hawkish rate hike was effective in stopping yen's decline, stock market plunge highlighted problems with central bank's market dialogue
  • Bank still intends to raise rates gradually, and we think investors will eventually be forced to price rate hikes back in

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