Fixed Income Commentary

Outlook for JGB supply/demand in 2024 based on debt issuance plans and BoJ purchases

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Outlook for JGB supply/demand in 2024 based on debt issuance plans and BoJ purchases

Key points
  • Calendar-base issuance in JGB issuance plan for FY24 points to reduced issuance across broad range of maturities
  • However, market supply (MoF issuance less BoJ purchases) is currently expected to increase in long- and super-long-term sectors in 2024
  • If BoJ continues dialing back its purchases of super-long JGBs, absence of buyers could fuel curve-steepening pressures

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