JGB Market Compass

Excess liquidity-driven market to continue even after ending NIRP, YCC

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Excess liquidity-driven market to continue even after ending NIRP, YCC

Key points
  • Despite historic stock market rally, traditional inverse correlation (bond weakness) remains dormant

 

  • Excess liquidity due to QQE seen as one factor; 10yr JGB yield unable to top 1% level allowed by YCC revision

 

  • Even after ending NIRP and YCC, Bank will continue purchasing enough long-term JGBs to avoid JGB market plunge and excess liquidity-driven market will likely persist

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