Fixed Income Commentary

  • Jul 08, 2024

ASW spreads widen on expectations of increased net supply of interest rate risk

Key points
  • ASW spreads have widened, with 10-year spread climbing into positive territory for first time since February 2022
  • Causes include expectations of reduced BoJ bond purchases and corresponding increase in net supply of interest rate risk
  • We expect continued pressure for wider spreads as net supply of interest rate risk remains elevated